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What a terrible week. Devastation in Galveston, a fire in the Channel
Tunnel, and signs of a meltdown in the global economy. Let's take our
minds off the doom and gloom for a moment, but we'll keep the preamble
brief. Canadian creative boutique John St is responsible for this
pastiche training film on behalf of the Fashion Targets Breast Cancer
charity. It made us laugh, but our cheeks are still stinging. How many
times did that poor guy have to get slapped before they got the best take?
Ouch. There's also an
alternative spot, Elevator, but it's not quite as good.
For more on the battle of the sexes, try "The Woman Whisperer",
a spot by Clemenger BBDO for Australia's Carlton Mid lager.
Nice idea.
As mentioned last week, a new campaign has launched in the UK for iconic
packaged loaf Hovis, celebrating 122 years of its heritage. We're
not sure how good this ad, by MCBD, will be at selling bread, but
it's lavishly and painstakingly conceived, designed and shot, so we
couldn't possibly omit it from Ads of the Week. Commendations all round
for technical excellence.
And finally, hamburger chain Wendy's is running a new viral
campaign by Kirshenbaum Bond under the Meatatarians Unite banner.
This is the first unbranded ad, Crazy Lettuce.
Oh, yeah. One more thing. Microsoft issued a second Seinfeld/Gates
ad by Crispin Porter Bogusky this week. If you have to watch it, it's
here - we're not going to dignify it with a position in Ads of the
Week. Although marginally better than the abysmal Shoe Circus spot, it's
still rubbish. Too long and not funny. At all. Microsoft appears to have
been paying attention to the acres of bad press, because today the
blogosphere is awash with reports, as yet unconfirmed, that the ads have
been pulled, or at least that Jerry Seinfeld has been dropped from them.
True? False? Apparently, a big new Microsoft launch will be unveiled next
week.
In the news this
past week: Advertisers
It was a week of extraordinary chaos in the financial sector, one that would have seemed
impossible even a few months ago. On Monday morning, after two weeks of frenzied
but fruitless negotiations to raise capital, investment bank Lehman
Brothers filed for bankruptcy, the biggest bank failure
since the collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert in 1990. Under its
aggressive CEO Richard Fuld, Lehman had been one of the prime movers in
high risk commercial property investments designed to deliver even higher returns -
provided they could be sold. Instead the worsening economic situation left
Lehman sitting on huge investments it was unable to shift. Yet despite
substantial losses already this year, the obstinate Fuld seems
to have refused to
accept the reality of Lehman's precarious position until the very last
minute. He could arguably have dug his company out of the hole it was in
by selling shares or assets earlier this year, but he waited too long and then the price he demanded was too
high. Several other banks, including Bank of
America and Barclays, came close to offering a last minute lifeline
over the weekend, but ultimately withdrew from talks for fear of being infected by Lehman's toxic
property portfolio. A crucial obstacle was the US government's refusal to provide
financial support for Lehman until a deal could completed. Instead, Barclays
let Lehman fail and then nipped in to snap up its US investment banking and capital
markets divisions for a bargain price of just
$250,000. Barclays will pay another $1.5bn to buy Lehman's New York HQ as
well as two data centres.
Having passed on Lehman, Bank of America turned to Merrill
Lynch, an even
more prestigious name in the industry, which was struggling to shore up
its own position in the face of plunging confidence. BofA offered to buy Merrill for around
$50bn, a premium over the company's share price at the end of last week,
but less than half its value at the start of this year. Fearing that
it would itself be dragged down by the shockwaves emanating from Lehman's
collapse, Merrill's board agreed on Sunday to accept BofA's offer. The
jewel in Merrill's portfolio is its substantial retail brokerage and
wealth management division.
Despite
intervention by central banks in the US and Europe, as
well as the creation of a giant $70bn liquidity fund to protect other
institutions, global stock markets plunged on Monday on the news from
Lehman and Merrill. The next victim was quick to materialise. AIG, the world's biggest insurer, launched
a desperate appeal
for $20bn in additional capital to secure its own failing balance sheet, heavily
exposed not only to subprime bonds but also a complex and unregulated form
of corporate insurance known as credit default swaps, complex financial
contracts which insure buyers of mortgage-backed securities against
losses.
Because of the restructuring of mortgage guarantors Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, as well as the collapse of Lehman and other possible failures to
come, AIG was sitting on a massive potential payout. Its stock price plunged by 60% on Monday morning,
and by Tuesday evening AIG was also on the brink of a catastrophic
meltdown which would almost certainly have pulled down other banks in the
US and Europe with it. On Wednesday morning, the US government
agreed in effect to nationalise AIG, acquiring an 80% shareholding in
return for a staggering $85bn loan. AIG has two years to pay it off, most
probably from asset sales. Despite the horrendous problems in its
financial products division, the main insurance business is still highly
profitable.
A day later, on Wednesday, it was the turn of the UK's
biggest mortgage lender, HBOS, which agreed to sell itself to
Lloyds TSB following a further collapse in its share price and continuing
concerns over its ability to fund itself. A deal was struck that evening,
with HBOS agreeing to be acquired for an equivalent value of £12.2bn. The
enlarged Lloyds
TSB will become the dominant force in the UK's mortgage market, with a
28% share and home loans of around £335bn. The merged group has
already pledged to make cuts of around £1bn annually, which could include
as many as 40,000 jobs, and it will almost certainly lead to consolidation
of both company's marketing departments and suppliers. The bank is
expected to maintain a strong base in Scotland, and to continue to issue
Bank of Scotland currency. Other details of the merger have yet to be
finalised.
Who's next? The two remaining pure-play investment banks, Morgan
Stanley and Goldman Sachs both saw their shares plunge in value
- Morgan's by more than 40% - on speculation that they too need to seek
support. As of this morning, Morgan Stanley was in talks to merge with the
equally vulnerable retail bank Wachovia. America's largest
savings and loan, Washington Mutual, is also struggling with huge
writedowns on its assets, and has hired Goldman Sachs to find a buyer.
Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan were all said to be
interested, so it may be that WaMu ends up being split between more than
one buyer.
There was similar chaos in the UK travel industry when the
country's third largest tour operator XL was forced to suspend
operations at the weekend and call in administrators, leaving around 90,000 holidaymakers
stranded without flights home. Among the many victims of the failure of XL is London
football club West Ham, which agreed a three-year £7.5m shirt sponsorship deal with
the tour operator earlier this year. Adding to the
misery, Italian airline Alitalia, also
struggling to survive, cancelled flights after rescue talks between
management and unions collapsed.
Sigh. Was there any good news this week? Well, US electronics
retailer Best Buy continued its aggressive strategy of expansion and
diversification by signing off on a $121m deal to acquire Napster, the
online music download and streaming service. Earlier this year, it agreed
to invest $1bn in a 50% shareholding in the retail network of European
mobile phone seller Carphone Warehouse. Best Buy said it will use
Napster's capabilities and its 700,000-strong subscribers as the platform to offer
"an enhanced experience for exploring and selecting music and other
digital entertainment products over an increasing array of devices".
Meanwhile Samsung launched a hostile $5.8bn takeover for US memory
manufacturer SanDisk after several weeks of private talks appeared to
reach no conclusion. SanDisk's board rejected the bid, calling it
"inadequate in multiple respects".
Also in the financial sector, Deutsche Bank saw off a
challenge from Santander of Spain to acquire a 30% stake in the
state-controlled Postbank for E2.8bn. It is expected to acquire a further
21% holding from Deutsche Post at some time before 2011. Postbank is one
of Germany's biggest domestic retail banks, serving around 14.2m ordinary
customers.
In the UK,
supermarket leaders Tesco and Asda kicked off a new price war to fend off
what appears to be growing competition from discounters Aldi and Lidl.
According to new research from TNS, Tesco's leading market share declined
marginally over the 12 weeks to September 7th from 31.7% to 31.5%.
However, Aldi and Lidl both edged up, reaching 2.9% and 2.4% share respectively, as did
Asda, up from 17.0% to 17.3%. As a result, Tesco this week launched a new private label line, Discount Brands, which promises price cuts worth a
combined total of more than £100m on staple grocery products such as tea
and coffee, bread, pasta and sugar. Asda's counter-attack, which offers
further cuts to its existing low-cost Smart Price range, followed a day
later.
Lastly, something to refresh your palate. Budweiser is to launch another new variant in the US,
hoping to emulate the success of its very popular Bud Light Lime. The new
launch, arriving next week, is Budweiser American Ale. Targeting the
high-end craft beer segment, the premium brew promises "the
full-bodied taste profile of the amber ale style".
In
the news this past week: Agencies
Grey's European network was named as Agency Network of the Year for
the fourth consecutive year at the 2008 Euro Effie awards ceremony in
Brussels, scooping four trophies in three categories. A Gold went to
"As It Should Be" for Coke Zero in Scandinavia and Germany. A UK
campaign for P&G's Lenor took Silver; Grey London and affiliated
Atletico International in Spain received Bronze awards for work for
GlaxoSmithKline's Corega and Seat.
Rapp Collins Worldwide lost weight, in its name at least, announcing that
it will from now on be known simply as Rapp. A new logo accompanies
the new name.
Juan Cabral, creative partner at Fallon London, is to move
back to his home country of Argentina to be near his family for the birth of his first child.
Cabral is widely considered one of the key forces in the remarkable
success of Fallon's London office, and was responsible for conceiving the
Sony "Balls" and Cadbury "Gorilla" films. He will
continue to supervise Fallon's creative output from Argentina.
French creative boutique FFL confirmed the departure of
founding partner Christophe Lambert. The agency was established in 2007 as a
breakaway from Publicis Group. Creative partners Fred Raillard and Farid Mokart
had previously served as the core of creative boutique Marcel, itself
named after the founder of Publicis. They were joined by Lambert, then
president of the main Publicis Conseil agency. In a highly controversial
step which added to the animosity between Publicis and rival Havas, the
latter's chairman Vincent Bolloré provided the start-up capital for the
new agency in return for a 30% shareholding, held
privately through his Group Bolloré investment company. Almost two years
later, however, Lambert has developed itchy feet once again, and is
leaving to establish a branded entertainment company in partnership with
French producer-director Luc Besson.
PepsiCo called a review of its Quaker cereals
business in the US. Previously the account was handled by the Omnicom
agency Element 79, but that shop has not been asked to participate in the
review. Originally established in 2001 to handle the Gatorade and Quaker
accounts, Element 79 subsequently won a series of other Pepsi brands.
Since the beginning of this year, however, these have all steadily
departed the agency for other Omnicom-owned shops. The reasons for the
losses are unclear, but have caused some speculation within the industry
regarding the future viability of Element 79. However, one contributing
factor may be that the agency has at the same time steadily increased the
number of brands it handles for another food client, ConAgra.
In other account assignments, TBWA captured the consolidated
advertising account for Visa in all global markets except Europe.
It already held the US business. Luxury group Hermes appointed MPG
to handle pan-European media. Mother collected the assignment to
run Coca-Cola's pan-Euro campaign for summer 2009. Argentinean
boutique Santo will take over global creative for Unilever's Sunsilk
shampoo. For all
other appointments, subscribers can access the full Adbrands Account
Assignments database here.
In the news this
past week:
Media
Despite the general economic gloom, US network NBC announced that it has
already sold all but 10 of the 65 ad slots in and around the NFL 2009 Super
Bowl, which it will be hosting in February. As many as a dozen spots sold
for $3m each. This puts NBC well ahead of past Super Bowls. Previously,
networks have expected to sell around half their inventory by the end of
the summer, whereas NBC claims to have closed off as much as 85%.
The TV industry's equivalent to the Oscars, the Emmys,
were handed out last Saturday evening. Time Warner's HBO network was, as
usual, the supreme champion, collecting no less than 16 trophies, most of
them for the John Adams mini-series. Among other notable awards,
advertising drama series Mad Men got four, for best hair, art
direction, title design and cinematography; and Sarah Silverman and her
team took home two Emmys for her "I'm F***ing Matt Damon" song
and video on the Jimmy Kimmel Live show. Yay! The outstanding commercial
Emmy went to DDB Chicago's Swear Jar spot for Bud Light, one of our
favourites last year. If you missed it, here it is
again.
Here's hoping for a calmer week next week!
As always, if you haven't already done so, please confirm your subscription
to the free Adbrands Weekly Update by
clicking here or on the link at the foot of this email. Thank you for your
assistance!
Simon Tesler Publisher, Adbrands
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